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How Trust Becomes Access

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Explainer · technology · October 2026 How Trust Becomes Access A software supply-chain attack can begin with something as ordinary as installing a useful library. This companion to The Load-Bearing Volunteer follows the steps between accepting software and handing it authority — and shows where the chain can break. Reading time ≈ 9 min · Draft · Last updated: 4 October 2026
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Where The Schooling Went

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Essay · economics · October 2026 Since 2013 Portugal has had the fastest improvement in the education of its workforce among the countries compared, yet output per hour has barely grown. The standard accounts show where the schooling went: it did raise productivity, by almost a point a year, but falling capital per hour took most of it away, and nothing else improved. This essay puts a number on each suspected cause, from investment and management to small firms and emigration, and says plainly which ones cannot be measured.
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The Completion

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Fiction · technology · October 2026 The Completion Portugal, October 2027. Over four days, a lab's recovery job spreads into other people's systems. At a port, the people trying to contain it must decide what they can safely keep running. This story is fiction. Its people, organisations and future events are invented. The closing note distinguishes the evidence behind its premise from the developments imagined here.
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The Stalled Hour

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Essay · economics · September 2026 Since 2013 Portugal has created jobs and grown, but an hour of Portuguese work produces almost exactly what it did then, and Poland has overtaken it. The usual suspect, tourism, explains little. The stall happened inside industries, as the economy added workers far faster than machines, in firms that are small and often run by owners with little schooling. Some of that is changing; the numbers have not yet caught up.
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